US Election Day 2024: Polls Open and Results

[cwej]

Well.... she's now back to 58% chance to win on LTE...

 

[KC 🦋]

How do these journalists do this SOBER?

 

[cwej]

I really need to know more about Decision Desk methodology. It's way too confident given the data that is actually available.

LTE just jumped 10% for Harris at that hour, and DD didn't move

They have seemed too confident on Republicans on EVERY single vote I think.

 

[KC 🦋]

Why does LTE look like the Billboard Hot 100? Does the Executive Branch even have a #1 hit?!

 

[cwej]

LTE projecting Harris a 69% chance of winning Pennsylvania, which will be the reason for the big jump in the overall election win chances.

 

[funky]

Why does LTE look like the Billboard Hot 100? Does the Executive Branch even have a #1 hit?!

I do NOT want Donald Trump at #1 for 43 weeks.

 

[funky]

LTE projecting Harris a 69% chance of winning Pennsylvania, which will be the reason for the big jump in the overall election win chances.

marry me

 

[cwej]

DDHQ now putting Trump at 72% chance of winning but LTE on Harris with 58% chance of winning... They must be using very different methodologies...

 

[cwej]

marry me

Just cos I said 69.

 

[dmlaw]

Why does LTE look like the Billboard Hot 100? Does the Executive Branch even have a #1 hit?!

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have both won the same number of Grammys as Katy Perry. Barack Obama has won two more than her.

 

[KC 🦋]

Democratic nominee wins NC Governor I think

 

[cwej]

Oh my god... LTE now moving Harris to 62% chance of winning. I'm gonna cry. It's too stressful.

 

[ZenGiraffe]

DDHQ now putting Trump at 72% chance of winning but LTE on Harris with 58% chance of winning... They must be using very different methodologies...

Is DDHQ just using national vote share or something? That's the only way I can see why you'd swing so big at this point

 

[cwej]

I love Helen and Liam, drunk as fuck in Pennsylvania.

 

[cwej]

Is DDHQ just using national vote share or something? That's the only way I can see why you'd swing so big at this point

Quite possibly - it doesn't make any sense at all. Maybe the big swing in Florida is something they're bearing in mind and giving a lot of weight though?

 

[ZenGiraffe]

That's more like it

 

[mulled vespertine]

Stop the count in Michigan!

 

[dmlaw]

The Senate results are not looking good. Even if Harris wins, she'll probably need to deal with THAT bullshit for at least two years.

 

[ZenGiraffe]

Who is hot Baldie we have on CNN please?

 

[cwej]

Jeez... you might have been right about Ohio. Now showing as slightly leaning to Democrat with the current votes... 52% chance of Harris winning. If she could somehow sneak Ohio it be earth-shattering.

 

[Ill Advised]

I really hope Ted Cruz loses

 

[funky]

Stop the count in Michigan!

And Pennsylvania!

 

[ZenGiraffe]

 

[Iguana]

Urgh we really know fuck all at this point don't we.

 

[dmlaw]

I would greatly like the woman with the bicycle rain hood on the Amazon adverts to be caught by the wind and thrown into the side of a bus.

 

[funky]

I'm stress-eating.

Trump now to blame for an unstable world, civil unrest, mass racism and MY DAD BOD.

 

[KC 🦋]

Stress kills you faster if you're drinking.

 

[mulled vespertine]

The NYT needle is up: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html

NOT recommended if you're already on edge.

 

[Madison]

Virginia seems to be taking its time.

 

[VoR]

I'm getting concerned about Virginia still not being called...

 

[Soldi]

It’s ok she’s leading in Kansas with 8% in

 

[win_the_game]

The curse of VoR striking again I fear.

 

[dmlaw]

The curse of VoR striking again I fear.

First Mandy Moore, now Kamala Harris.

 

[funky]

Oh Virginia is WAY too close now!

FUCK.

 

[ZenGiraffe]

Remind me when the bottom fell out for Hillary again?

 

[Eddie]

It's over.

 

[dmlaw]

Oh Virginia is WAY too close now!

FUCK.

There surely must be some significant urban/suburban votes that they haven't started counting yet.

 

[cwej]

How do these journalists do this SOBER?

Do they though??

 

[VoR]

If Florida turns out to be a bell weather in terms of how independent votes split, it's a bad bad night for Harris...

 

[funky]

There surely must be some significant urban/suburban votes that they haven't started counting yet.

Yep probably. But there's a benchmark that @VoR mentioned relative to the last election when VA was safe to call. So unless the counties are counting in a completely different order, it's not good that it's this close at this stage.