UK General Election 2024

[GinAg (39)]

Sorry, a fuckin' McDonalds.

 

[Penelope]

Hilariously Patel has a reasonable chance of being the next Tory leader. If ever a party wanted a decade out of power.

Nah, she's been yesterday's woman for a while in that world - she couldn't stop the boats for shit!

(obviously neither could Suella, but she at least had the sense to confect an alibi and bang on about it on the way out the door)

 

[GinAg (39)]

Nah, she's been yesterday's woman for a while in that world - she couldn't stop the boats for shit!

She's laid low since leaving her job, and honestly WHO ELSE?

 

[Penelope]

She's laid low since leaving her job, and honestly WHO ELSE?

It'll almost certainly be Kemi Badenoch, James Cleverly or (long shot) Suella.

 

[GinAg (39)]

It'll almost certainly be Kemi Badenoch, James Cleverly or Suella.

Fuck me with a dinghy.

 

[GinAg (39)]

Kemi Badenoch is the scariest of them all. Utterly terrifying confidence.

 

[Penelope]

Thankfully she's also genuinely batshit enough on a fundamental level that she's that bit too fixated across the board on things that are a bit too true believer pet concern-y to actually connect with most typical voters, I suspect. Ideological warriors usually struggle unless the conditions are just right for them, and they're going to be....uphill for hers for quite some time in the wake of Liz Truss / the record the gist of her politics has to show for itself in the state of everything austerity has left going out the door.

 

[Penelope]

Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak were quite good at the terrifying confidence thing too in their time, as it goes

 

[big ron]

Oh and more FACTS.

The % of 18-34 years olds planning to vote Tory? SEVEN

7% or just seven in total?

 

[octophone]

7% or just seven in total?

That's Basil worthy

 

[ZenGiraffe]

In EXCELLENT NEWS (depending on your morality and morbidity)

TORIES QUITE LITERALLY DYING OUT

 

[Funky]

Reform really eating into Labour’s votes though

 

[GNL]

Reform really eating into Labour’s votes though

They need to work harder to win over this audience. The union flag branding isn't cutting through, and Reform don't have any MPs who can defect to Labour, so we're going to need Sir Keir Starmer to say a slur.

 

[octophone]

They need to work harder to win over this audience. The union flag branding isn't cutting through, and Reform don't have any MPs who can defect to Labour, so we're going to need Sir Keir Starmer to say a slur.

I think we can all guess which one he'll go for...

 

[gggggg]

Labour know Reform voters are basically a lost cause at this point, especially when they can pick off the softer side of 2019 Cons. The Tories haven’t yet realised this, judging by the policy announcements today.

The most interesting thing to watch will be how Don’t Knows break, and also the effect of tactical voting within this cohort (both anti-Con and anti-Lab). Also the % effect of those who will not vote at all is underpriced (will mainly be natural Con voters).